Tonight’s read · July 4, 2026
Storms in spots for El Paso (Las Cruces)
El Paso Fourth of July Celebration has a solid window.
Best seat
Las Cruces 4th of July Concert & Fireworks — Las Cruces
1 of 9 ideal (11%)
Watch
Socorro Independence Day Xtravaganza — Socorro
1 ideal (11%) · 6 decent (67%) · 2 washout (22%)
Confidence
Low
6 days out · firms daily
Score breakdownavg 53 / 100
Ideal1 · 11%
Decent6 · 67%
Washout2 · 22%
Updated Jul 5, 5:40 AM UTC7-day outlook — verdicts firm daily through the 4th
Top picks tonightIdeal · 71 pts leads the market
1
Las Cruces 4th of July Concert & Fireworks
Las Cruces, NM · 9:03 PM est.
2
El Paso Fourth of July Celebration
El Paso, TX · 10:00 PM est.
3
America 250 Celebration
El Paso, TX · 10:00 PM est.
1 ideal · 6 decent · 9 shows scored
If you're watching in El Paso (Las Cruces) tonight, El Paso Fourth of July Celebration looks like a solid view — some scrub risk. Your best odds are in Las Cruces — Las Cruces 4th of July Concert & grades out highest in the market. The one to watch is Socorro — storm risk — may be scrubbed — so keep a backup if you're headed that way.
Show locations9 pinned · click marker to filter table
Every show in your market — 9
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★ Marquee pinned first — the iconic show; the rest ranked best sky → worst. Click any row to expand conditions.
| Show | Town | Launch | Sky at launch | Wind | Verdict |
|---|
| ★El Paso Fourth of July CelebrationMARQUEE | El Paso, TX | 10:00 PM est. | Mostly cloudy | ESE 13 mph | Decent59 |
| Las Cruces 4th of July Concert & Fireworks | Las Cruces, NM | 9:03 PM est. | Mostly cloudy | ESE 9 mph | Ideal71 |
| America 250 Celebration | El Paso, TX | 10:00 PM est. | Mostly cloudy | ESE 13 mph | Decent59 |
| Ascarate Park Fourth of July Celebration | El Paso, TX | 10:00 PM est. | Mostly cloudy | ESE 13 mph | Decent59 |
| The Shoppes at Solana: Spirit of America Showcase | El Paso, TX | 10:00 PM est. | Mostly cloudy | ESE 13 mph | Decent59 |
| Wet N' Wild Waterworld Fireworks | Anthony, TX | 10:01 PM est. | Overcast | ESE 12 mph | Decent58 |
| El Paso Chihuahuas Fourth of July Game | El Paso, TX | 10:00 PM est. | Mostly cloudy | ESE 14 mph | Decent55 |
| Freedom Festival | Horizon City, TX | 9:59 PM est. | Overcast | ESE 19 mph | Washout31 |
| Socorro Independence Day Xtravaganza | Socorro, TX | 9:59 PM est. | Partly cloudy | ESE 19 mph | Washout27 |
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