Fireworks Forecast Desk
Madison · DMA #77
Tonight’s read · July 4, 2026

Clear skies for Madison

Monona Community Festival Fireworks has a clean window.
Best seat
Clear across the metro
3 of 5 ideal (60%)
Watch
No washouts in the market
3 ideal (60%) · 2 decent (40%)
Confidence
Low
6 days out · firms daily
Score breakdownavg 74 / 100
Ideal3 · 60%
Decent2 · 40%
Updated Jul 5, 5:40 AM UTC7-day outlook — verdicts firm daily through the 4th
Top picks tonightIdeal · 83 pts leads the market
1
Monona Community Festival Fireworks
Madison, WI · 9:25 PM est.
Ideal83
2
Monona Community Festival Fireworks
Monona, WI · 9:25 PM est.
Ideal82
3
WaunaBoom Fireworks
Waunakee, WI · 9:26 PM est.
Ideal77
Read-ready script
3 ideal · 2 decent · 5 shows scored
If you're watching in Madison tonight, Monona Community Festival looks like a clean view — high cloud that won't block the bursts and a light ENE wind to carry the smoke off. Every show in the market has a clear window tonight. It's a clean night across the market, low confidence now and firming as the 4th nears.
Show locations5 pinned · click marker to filter table
Every show in your market — 5 · 1 more light up July 3
★ Marquee pinned first — the iconic show; the rest ranked best sky → worst. Click any row to expand conditions.
ShowTownLaunchSky at launchWindVerdict
Monona Community Festival FireworksMARQUEEMadison, WI9:25 PM est.Partly cloudyENE 9 mphIdeal83
Monona Community Festival FireworksMonona, WI9:25 PM est.Partly cloudyENE 8 mphIdeal82
WaunaBoom FireworksWaunakee, WI9:26 PM est.Mostly cloudyE 8 mphIdeal77
Chad Erickson Memorial Fireworks ExtravaganzaLa Crosse, WI9:35 PM est.Mostly clearS 4 mphDecent67
Rockford FireworksRockford, IL9:21 PM est.Partly cloudyENE 5 mphDecent61
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Weather intelligence — Tomorrow.iotomorrow.io/fireworks-desk/madison