Tonight’s read · July 4, 2026
A mixed sky for Memphis
Celebrate Your Independence has a solid window.
Best seat
Flag City Freedom Celebration — Millington
1 of 6 ideal (17%)
Watch
Tupelo 4th of July Celebration — Tupelo
1 ideal (17%) · 4 decent (67%) · 1 marginal (17%)
Confidence
Medium
6 days out · firms daily
Score breakdownavg 63 / 100
Ideal1 · 17%
Decent4 · 67%
Marginal1 · 17%
Updated Jul 5, 5:40 AM UTC7-day outlook — verdicts firm daily through the 4th
Top picks tonightIdeal · 77 pts leads the market
1
Flag City Freedom Celebration
Millington, TN · 10:03 PM est.
2
Celebrate Your Independence
Memphis, TN · 10:03 PM est.
3
Redbirds Independence Celebration
Memphis, TN · 10:03 PM est.
1 ideal · 4 decent · 6 shows scored
If you're watching in Memphis tonight, Celebrate Your Independence looks like a solid view — light air — smoke may linger. Your best odds are in Millington — Flag City Freedom Celebration grades out highest in the market. The one to watch is Tupelo — light air — smoke may linger · some scrub risk — so keep a backup if you're headed that way.
Show locations6 pinned · click marker to filter table
Every show in your market — 6 · 1 more light up July 3
✕ Clear filter
★ Marquee pinned first — the iconic show; the rest ranked best sky → worst. Click any row to expand conditions.
| Show | Town | Launch | Sky at launch | Wind | Verdict |
|---|
| ★Celebrate Your IndependenceMARQUEE | Memphis, TN | 10:03 PM est. | Overcast | S 5 mph | Decent63 |
| Flag City Freedom Celebration | Millington, TN | 10:03 PM est. | Overcast | SSE 4 mph | Ideal77 |
| Redbirds Independence Celebration | Memphis, TN | 10:03 PM est. | Overcast | S 5 mph | Decent63 |
| Graceland Red-Hot 4th of July | Memphis, TN | 10:03 PM est. | Overcast | S 5 mph | Decent63 |
| Jonesboro Fourth of July Celebration | Jonesboro, AR | 9:08 PM est. | Partly cloudy | S 6 mph | Decent62 |
| Tupelo 4th of July Celebration | Tupelo, MS | 8:55 PM est. | Mostly cloudy | N 5 mph | Marginal48 |
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