Fireworks Forecast Desk
Phoenix (Prescott) · DMA #12
Tonight’s read · July 4, 2026

Clear skies for Phoenix (Prescott)

Fabulous Phoenix 4th has a clean window.
Best seat
Clear across the metro
14 of 16 ideal (88%)
Watch
No washouts in the market
14 ideal (88%) · 2 decent (12%)
Confidence
Medium
6 days out · firms daily
Score breakdownavg 74 / 100
Ideal14 · 88%
Decent2 · 12%
Updated Jul 5, 5:40 AM UTC7-day outlook — verdicts firm daily through the 4th
Top picks tonightIdeal · 82 pts leads the market
1
Casa Grande's 4th of July Celebration
Casa Grande, AZ · 8:24 PM est.
Ideal82
2
Goodyear's Star-Spangled 4th
Goodyear, AZ · 8:28 PM est.
Ideal81
3
Avondale's Light Up the Sky
Avondale, AZ · 8:28 PM est.
Ideal80
Read-ready script
14 ideal · 2 decent · 16 shows scored
If you're watching in Phoenix (Prescott) tonight, Fabulous Phoenix 4th looks like a clean view — high cloud that won't block the bursts and a light WSW wind to carry the smoke off. From Fabulous Phoenix 4th to Tempe 4th of July Celebration, the big shows all have a clear window. It's a clean night across the market, medium confidence now and firming as the 4th nears.
Show locations16 pinned · click marker to filter table
Every show in your market — 16 · 2 more light up July 3
★ Marquee pinned first — the iconic show; the rest ranked best sky → worst. Click any row to expand conditions.
ShowTownLaunchSky at launchWindVerdict
★Fabulous Phoenix 4thMARQUEEPhoenix, AZ8:27 PM est.OvercastWSW 5 mphIdeal72
Casa Grande's 4th of July CelebrationCasa Grande, AZ8:24 PM est.Mostly clearNW 6 mphIdeal82
Goodyear's Star-Spangled 4thGoodyear, AZ8:28 PM est.OvercastSSW 5 mphIdeal81
Avondale's Light Up the SkyAvondale, AZ8:28 PM est.OvercastSW 6 mphIdeal80
Flagstaff Independence Day Drone ShowFlagstaff, AZ8:30 PM est.OvercastSW 16 mphIdeal78
Fourth at the FountainFountain Hills, AZ8:26 PM est.OvercastWNW 5 mphIdeal78
Gilbert 4th of July CelebrationGilbert, AZ8:25 PM est.OvercastNNW 5 mphIdeal74
Glendale Westgate Firework FestGlendale, AZ8:28 PM est.OvercastSW 4 mphIdeal73
Peoria All-American FestivalPeoria, AZ8:28 PM est.OvercastSSW 5 mphIdeal73
Chandler Independence Day Concert & FireworksChandler, AZ8:26 PM est.OvercastN 5 mphIdeal72
Tempe 4th of July CelebrationTempe, AZ8:26 PM est.OvercastWNW 6 mphIdeal72
Diamondbacks July 4 FireworksPhoenix, AZ8:27 PM est.OvercastWSW 4 mphIdeal72
All-American BashChandler, AZ8:26 PM est.OvercastN 4 mphIdeal72
Arizona Celebration of FreedomMesa, AZ8:26 PM est.OvercastWNW 6 mphIdeal70
WestWorld of Scottsdale Independence DayScottsdale, AZ8:27 PM est.OvercastESE 8 mphDecent68
Surprise's Independence Day CelebrationSurprise, AZ8:28 PM est.OvercastSSW 6 mphDecent67
Tempe 4th at Tempe Town LakeTempe, AZ———Firming
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Weather intelligence — Tomorrow.iotomorrow.io/fireworks-desk/phoenix-prescott