Fireworks Forecast Desk
Tampa-St. Petersburg (Sarasota) · DMA #11
Tonight’s read · July 4, 2026

Clear skies for Tampa-St. Petersburg (Sarasota)

Liberty by the Bay has a clean window.
Best seat
Clear across the metro
10 of 12 ideal (83%)
Watch
No washouts in the market
10 ideal (83%) · 2 decent (17%)
Confidence
Medium
6 days out · firms daily
Score breakdownavg 76 / 100
Ideal10 · 83%
Decent2 · 17%
Updated Jul 5, 5:40 AM UTC7-day outlook — verdicts firm daily through the 4th
Top picks tonightIdeal · 84 pts leads the market
1
Treasure Island 4th of July Fireworks
Treasure Island, FL · 9:16 PM est.
Ideal84
2
Liberty by the Bay
Tampa, FL · 9:15 PM est.
Ideal83
3
Busch Gardens Tampa Summer Nights
Tampa, FL · 9:15 PM est.
Ideal83
Read-ready script
10 ideal · 2 decent · 12 shows scored
If you're watching in Tampa-St. Petersburg (Sarasota) tonight, Liberty by the Bay looks like a clean view — high cloud that won't block the bursts and a brisk E wind. From Liberty by the Bay to Busch Gardens Tampa Summer Nights, the big shows all have a clear window. It's a clean night across the market, medium confidence now and firming as the 4th nears.
Show locations12 pinned · click marker to filter table
Every show in your market — 12 · 1 more light up July 3
★ Marquee pinned first — the iconic show; the rest ranked best sky → worst. Click any row to expand conditions.
ShowTownLaunchSky at launchWindVerdict
★Liberty by the BayMARQUEETampa, FL9:15 PM est.Mostly cloudyE 21 mphIdeal83
Treasure Island 4th of July FireworksTreasure Island, FL9:16 PM est.Mostly cloudySW 10 mphIdeal84
Busch Gardens Tampa Summer NightsTampa, FL9:15 PM est.Mostly cloudyE 9 mphIdeal83
Julian B. Lane Riverfront Park Fireworks & Drone ShowTampa, FL9:15 PM est.Mostly cloudyE 8 mphIdeal83
Fireworks on the LakeSarasota, FL9:14 PM est.OvercastSSW 5 mphIdeal82
Gulfport Fourth of July CelebrationGulfport, FL9:16 PM est.Partly cloudySW 7 mphIdeal77
St. Pete Pier Independence Day FireworksSt. Petersburg, FL9:15 PM est.Mostly cloudySW 14 mphIdeal76
Threshers Independence Day FireworksClearwater, FL9:16 PM est.OvercastSSW 8 mphIdeal74
Clearwater Celebrates AmericaClearwater, FL9:16 PM est.OvercastSSW 8 mphIdeal72
Avalon Park West July 4thWesley Chapel, FL9:15 PM est.Mostly cloudyESE 9 mphIdeal72
Largo 4th of July FireworksLargo, FL9:16 PM est.OvercastSSW 6 mphDecent69
Safety Harbor Fourth of JulySafety Harbor, FL9:16 PM est.OvercastSSW 16 mphDecent62
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Weather intelligence — Tomorrow.iotomorrow.io/fireworks-desk/tampa-st-petersburg-sarasota