Shows Most Likely to Be Delayed by Storms

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Fireworks Index · July 4, 2026

The displays with the highest storm risk in their launch window.

Shows ranked

25 of 1,667

#1 Fireworks Index

51 — Compromised

Forecast source

Tomorrow.io Weather API

1,667

shows in the full corpus

shows ranked on this board

#1 Fireworks Index

#10 score on this board

What this ranks

How these shows are chosen

Ranked by the Go-Window gate — lightning, heavy rain, and fallout-throwing gusts in the show hours. A delay risk, not a forecast of cancellation.

Fireworks Index · Shows Most Likely to Be Delayed by Storms

Rankings

Avon Lake 250 Jubilee Fireworks

Avon Lake Lakefront / Veterans Memorial Park, OH · Fireworks Index 51 (Compromised) · Storm risk: 39%

Rank	Show / Venue	Storm risk	Index	Band
1	Avon Lake 250 Jubilee Fireworks Avon Lake Lakefront / Veterans Memorial Park, OH	39%	51	Compromised
2	Wet N' Wild Waterworld Fireworks Wet N' Wild Waterworld, TX	29%	61	Good
3	Mandan's Prairie Pyro-Musical North of Mandan Middle School, ND	27%	63	Good
4	America 250 Celebration El Paso Convention Center, Downtown, TX	27%	62	Good
5	Ascarate Park Fourth of July Celebration Ascarate Park, TX	27%	62	Good
6	El Paso Chihuahuas Fourth of July Game Southwest University Park, TX	27%	62	Good
7	The Shoppes at Solana: Spirit of America Showcase The Shoppes at Solana, TX	27%	62	Good
8	Camp Lejeune America 250 Celebration Marine Corps Base Camp Lejeune, NC	27%	61	Good
9	Burr Ridge 3rd of July Fireworks Walker Park, IL	27%	60	Good
10	Oak Brook Taste of Oak Brook Drone & Fireworks Village Sports Core Fields, IL	27%	60	Good
11	Lemont July 3 Celebration Centennial Park, IL	27%	59	Good
12	Lisle 3rd of July Fireworks Lisle Community Park, IL	27%	59	Good
13	Lockport Fireworks Dellwood Park, IL	27%	59	Good
14	Romeoville Independence Day Fireworks Village Park & Discovery Park, IL	27%	59	Good
15	Joliet Eve of Independence: America 250 Fireworks Billie Limacher Bicentennial Park, IL	27%	58	Good
16	Fayetteville 4th of July Fireworks Downtown Fayetteville Street, NC	25%	65	Good
17	Myrtle Beach Boardwalk Fireworks 2nd Avenue Pier, SC	25%	66	Good
18	Myrtle Beach Pelicans Fireworks TicketReturn.com Field, SC	25%	66	Good
19	Barefoot Landing Fireworks Barefoot Landing, SC	25%	67	Good
20	Cherry Grove Pier Fireworks Cherry Grove Pier, SC	25%	67	Good
21	Freedom Festival Horizon Golf Course, TX	25%	65	Good
22	Connellsville Fireworks Connellsville City Hall, PA	25%	62	Good
23	Berwyn Fireworks Morton West High School, IL	25%	62	Good
24	Bridgeview Independence Day Celebration Commissioners Park, IL	25%	62	Good
25	Palos Heights Independence Day Celebration Memorial Park, IL	25%	63	Good

Scoring

How the Fireworks Index works

0–100. The Fireworks Index is the expected share of a perfect show: it multiplies whether the show fires at all (launch gate) by how much of an ideal display you would actually see (sky quality, smoke clearance, darkness). A score of 80 means you’d experience about 80% of a theoretically perfect fireworks display given the forecast conditions.

Four gates feed the score: Sky (cloud cover and ceiling — can you see the shells?), Smoke (air clearance for visibility), Dark (how dark the sky is at show time, after sunset), and Launch (go/delay based on wind, lightning risk, and fire danger). Scores are computed from the Tomorrow.io forecast for the exact show window at each venue’s location.

Sources. Show schedule: NFPA 1123 corpus (1,667 verified shows). Fire risk: Keetch–Byram Drought Index. Sunset timing: NOAA Solar Calculator. Forecast: Tomorrow.io Weather API.

See all 1,667 shows on the live map

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Tomorrow.io · Weather Intelligence
Fireworks Index · July 4, 2026

Computed from the live Tomorrow.io forecast for each show’s event window. Every score is reproducible from the public forecast API. Computed from the live Tomorrow.io forecast pulled for the event window.