The Storms to Be Most Careful Of

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Fireworks Index · July 4, 2026

Where the evening's weather is most worth planning around — for crews and crowds alike.

Shows ranked

25 of 1,667

#1 Fireworks Index

31 — Rough

Forecast source

Tomorrow.io Weather API

1,667

shows in the full corpus

shows ranked on this board

#1 Fireworks Index

#10 score on this board

What this ranks

How these shows are chosen

Ranked by storm severity (thunderstorm probability, gusts, and rain) at showtime — a planning lens, never an alarm. The Index itself is unchanged.

Fireworks Index · The Storms to Be Most Careful Of

Rankings

Port Orford Jubilee Fireworks

Battle Rock Wayside Park, OR · Fireworks Index 31 (Rough) · Gust / storm: 32 mph · 0%

Rank	Show / Venue	Gust / storm	Index	Band
1	Port Orford Jubilee Fireworks Battle Rock Wayside Park, OR	32 mph · 0%	31	Rough
2	Avon Night at the Park Fireworks Avon Town Hall Park, IN	18 mph · 14%	74	Great
3	Go 4th on the Rogue Festival & Fireworks Port of Gold Beach, OR	30 mph · 0%	40	Compromised
4	Love Your 4th Fireworks Show Sporthaven Beach, OR	30 mph · 0%	40	Compromised
5	South Haven Fireworks North Pier, MI	17 mph · 18%	69	Good
6	Town of Matthews Independence Day Celebration Mecklenburg County Sportsplex at Matthews, NC	19 mph · 16%	67	Good
7	Summer Nights Drone Show Grant's Farm, MO	17 mph · 12%	72	Great
8	Minot 4th of July Fireworks Roosevelt Park, ND	18 mph · 20%	70	Great
9	Panama City Beach Star-Spangled Spectacular Pier Park, FL	21 mph · 8%	71	Great
10	Newport 4th of July Fireworks Yaquina Bay, OR	28 mph · 0%	52	Compromised
11	Avon Lake 250 Jubilee Fireworks Avon Lake Lakefront / Veterans Memorial Park, OH	12 mph · 39%	51	Compromised
12	Fireworks at the Fairgrounds Canfield Fairgrounds, OH	15 mph · 18%	71	Great
13	Parker July 4th Fireworks Show Salisbury Regional Park, CO	23 mph · 10%	67	Good
14	City of Memphis Fireworks (Liberty Park) Liberty Park, TN	19 mph · 10%	37	Rough
15	Seaside 30A Fireworks Seaside Amphitheater, FL	19 mph · 8%	73	Great
16	Arizona Celebration of Freedom Downtown Mesa (263 N Center St), AZ	17 mph · 22%	67	Good
17	Wilmington Symphony & Fireworks Wilmington Riverwalk / Waterfront, NC	17 mph · 22%	67	Good
18	Broadway at the Beach 4th of July Fireworks Broadway at the Beach, Lake Broadway, SC	17 mph · 22%	69	Good
19	Rio Rancho 4th of July Celebration Loma Colorado Park, NM	11 mph · 22%	65	Good
20	SoBo Brew Fest Downtown / Factory Street Brewing, VA	16 mph · 16%	63	Good
21	Cedar Point Light Up the Point Cedar Point, OH	20 mph · 14%	70	Great
22	Joplin 4th of July Fireworks Landreth Park, MO	18 mph · 6%	54	Compromised
23	Pensacola Beach Fireworks Pensacola Beach Boardwalk, FL	19 mph · 6%	75	Great
24	Bandon 4th of July Fireworks over Coquille River Bandon Waterfront / Coquille River Lighthouse area, OR	26 mph · 0%	59	Good
25	Florence 4th of July Fireworks over Siuslaw River Old Town Florence / Siuslaw River Waterfront, OR	26 mph · 0%	61	Good

Scoring

How the Fireworks Index works

0–100. The Fireworks Index is the expected share of a perfect show: it multiplies whether the show fires at all (launch gate) by how much of an ideal display you would actually see (sky quality, smoke clearance, darkness). A score of 80 means you’d experience about 80% of a theoretically perfect fireworks display given the forecast conditions.

Four gates feed the score: Sky (cloud cover and ceiling — can you see the shells?), Smoke (air clearance for visibility), Dark (how dark the sky is at show time, after sunset), and Launch (go/delay based on wind, lightning risk, and fire danger). Scores are computed from the Tomorrow.io forecast for the exact show window at each venue’s location.

Sources. Show schedule: NFPA 1123 corpus (1,667 verified shows). Fire risk: Keetch–Byram Drought Index. Sunset timing: NOAA Solar Calculator. Forecast: Tomorrow.io Weather API.

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Tomorrow.io · Weather Intelligence
Fireworks Index · July 4, 2026

Computed from the live Tomorrow.io forecast for each show’s event window. Every score is reproducible from the public forecast API. Computed from the live Tomorrow.io forecast pulled for the event window.